Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.873552 1.954791 2.038435 2.131184 2.231381 2.336613 2.455822
2025-12-14 1.692805 1.802998 1.920587 2.056081 2.208758 2.376506 2.576191
2025-12-21 1.595930 1.729315 1.876029 2.050834 2.255419 2.489835 2.782602
2025-12-28 1.532576 1.685708 1.858695 2.071133 2.328680 2.635915 3.038439
2026-01-04 1.448759 1.611514 1.799126 2.034985 2.329036 2.691549 3.186101
2026-01-11 1.398887 1.572871 1.777386 2.040490 2.377867 2.808152 3.421021
2026-01-18 1.363330 1.548322 1.769802 2.061080 2.444980 2.951530 3.705979
2026-01-25 1.315749 1.505977 1.737027 2.046268 2.463021 3.028671 3.904026
2026-02-01 1.265093 1.457061 1.692940 2.013191 2.452817 3.063903 4.041512
2026-02-08 1.203268 1.391459 1.624442 1.943743 2.387456 3.014200 4.040022
2026-02-15 1.162161 1.350393 1.585531 1.911446 2.371137 3.033425 4.148993
2026-02-22 1.133231 1.323618 1.563775 1.900781 2.384004 3.095843 4.335121
2026-03-01 1.095851 1.286771 1.530026 1.875789 2.380231 3.141221 4.515005
2026-03-08 1.052640 1.241090 1.483065 1.830465 2.344264 3.134286 4.603585
2026-03-15 1.030914 1.222782 1.471973 1.835099 2.383322 3.251291 4.943244
2026-03-22 1.016889 1.214006 1.473219 1.857201 2.450438 3.421708 5.424091
2026-03-29 0.986788 1.182619 1.442057 1.830189 2.438341 3.455043 5.628103
2026-04-05 0.969887 1.168359 1.433920 1.836558 2.479714 3.586700 6.078920
2026-04-12 0.957926 1.160271 1.433903 1.854801 2.541461 3.762487 6.683309
2026-04-19 0.937274 1.139515 1.415007 1.843031 2.551760 3.841882 7.070940
2026-04-26 0.913026 1.113050 1.386971 1.815684 2.533380 3.862958 7.309183
2026-05-03 0.880646 1.074493 1.340399 1.757533 2.458284 3.763795 7.186453
2026-05-10 0.859040 1.050462 1.314190 1.730420 2.436090 3.770500 7.377846